Orateur
Rafael BALDERAS
(Bauhaus-Luftfahrt)
Description
This talk presents a modular scenario framework to assess aviation’s transition to climate neutrality, capturing interactions between demand, aircraft technologies, energy supply, fleet dynamics, and climate impacts.
Three pathways—SAF-led, hydrogen-led, and efficiency-driven—are compared, highlighting substantial investment needs, cost trade-offs, and the role of more efficient aircraft in mitigating operating costs. Environmental impacts are evaluated using social cost metrics, enabling comparison between transition investments and avoided damages.
